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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 661d | abeautifulmind | Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,487 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 668d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,949 | +$51 +1.0% | 4 |
| 675d |  kickstandhater | Fact Check: Are Mystery Drones a government test? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,289 | +$54 +4.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US federal government or its agencies (such as the FBI, DHS, or DoD) confirm that the drone clusters sighted in New Jersey or other parts of the U.S. Northeast are part of a test by the US government by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming the drones are part of a US government test may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.