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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 582d | Lenric | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo>99¢ | $27,609 | +$55 +0.2% | 4 |
| 583d |  Original-Zyn | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,128 | +$49 +0.8% | 4 |
| 583d | denizz4 fills | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,124 | −$67 −1.3% | — |
| 583d |  praesagus | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,679 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 583d | keribit | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,979 | +$21 +0.7% | 4 |
| 584d |  Car2 fills | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,390 | +$160 +3.7% | 4 |
| 584d |  mr.ozi | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,290 | +$121 +5.3% | 4 |
| 585d | denizz | Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,413 | +$180 +13% | 5 |
GayPride2,000 sharesOn March 17, Saudi news reports claimed Iranian intel ship Zagros (SIGINT) was sunk by U.S. forces (see: https://x.com/emilykschrader/status/1901792937283092581). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Iranian ship Zagros is confirmed to have been struck by kinetic action taken by the US military by March 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the US, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.