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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 782d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fact Check: Foreign government behind attempt on Trump? | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,136 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 795d | Isaak👴 | Fact Check: Foreign government behind attempt on Trump? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,881 | −$29 −1.5% | — |
| 805d | Isaak👴 | Fact Check: Foreign government behind attempt on Trump? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,890 | +$19 +1.0% | 4 |
| 814d | Gdub | Fact Check: Foreign government behind attempt on Trump? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$35 +3.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming that a foreign government orchestrated or was directly involved in the assassination attempt on Donald J. Trump during his campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from relevant law enforcement agencies, and any information released from government investigations into the incident.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.