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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 542d |  WongKimArk3 fills | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $7,715 | +$495 +6.4% | 4 |
| 542d |  Justitia | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | −$85 −5.0% | — |
| 542d |  occasionalAwareness | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$34 +1.7% | 4 |
| 547d |  GollumGekko | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,196 | +$24 +1.1% | 4 |
| 600d | Justitia | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$69 +6.4% | 4 |
| 611d |  horatio | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,211 | −$89 −7.4% | — |
| 628d |  silkroad2 fills | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,764 | −$412 −11% | — |
| 632d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $10,303 | +$1,534 +15% | 4 |
| 660d | silkroad | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,038 | +$517 +17% | 4 |
| 680d | Saddamhussein3 fills | Fact Check: Is Luigi Mangione gay? | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $4,777 | −$4,777 −100% | 10 |
I_SUCK_🍆_4_CASH187 shares
IvuskinMykola39 shares
ADudeEgg570 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Luigi Mangione is gay or bisexual by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official statements from Mangione, his legal representation, and information released by law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.