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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | copy42592 fills | Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,688 | +$70 +0.3% | 20 |
| 783d | polyswiss | Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 786d | Hhkcg2 fills | Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,280 | +$74 +1.4% | 20 |
| 816d | Nobody23041 | Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$51 −4.3% | — |
| 821d |  Car2 fills | Fact Check: Was there an order to hold fire? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$590 +21% | 20 |
RadLilDude9 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if by August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, definitive evidence is made public confirming law enforcement officers (including the Secret Service) were aware of a potential threat, and were explicitly ordered to hold fire against Thomas Matthew Crooks during the campaign rally in Butler, Pennsylvania. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be publicly released information from relevant law enforcement agencies, and any information released from government investigations into the incident.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.