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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660d | 3r3rsdfs | Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,117 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 662d |  syncope | Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,839 | +$43 +1.1% | 4 |
| 666d |  ADudeEgg | Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,920 | +$80 +1.6% | 4 |
| 671d | TheBoyBilly... | Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$30 +1.6% | 4 |
| 682d | bobbers | Fact Check: was Luigi Mangione paid? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,513 | +$207 +2.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that the shooter of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson received money for the act, or was supposed to receive money for the act due to a contract or agreement made prior. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "No" if it is confirmed the shooter received no money for the act. This market will resolve once there have been statements from the relevant law enforcement agencies confirming whether Thompson was paid. If there has been no definitive statement by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what law enforcement believe was most likely.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.