Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 717d | musa77 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $4,253 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 717d | Vilgefortz | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $10,213 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 717d | nedst | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $1,982 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 717d | haqsifbrother | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $12,569 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 717d |  scout2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $7,855 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | Yifan2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump>99¢ | $10,837 | +$11 +0.1% | 10 |
| 718d |  Office Lover | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $1,437 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 718d | steve1592 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $2,153 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 718d |  SexPistols | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $4,946 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 718d |  TheDuck2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump93¢ → 100¢ | $3,864 | −$288 −7.4% | — |
| 718d |  Pidor🐓 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $2,232 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 718d | biggy | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump>99¢ | $1,573 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 718d | Naropoly | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 718d | tsekinming0110 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump98¢ → 100¢ | $142,192 | +$2,352 +1.7% | 11 |
| 718d |  lil-uzi-squirt | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump99¢ → 100¢ | $14,130 | −$98 −0.7% | — |
| 718d |  carp | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $11,154 | −$45 −0.4% | — |
| 718d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA17 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump83¢ → 100¢ | $77,271 | +$16,330 +21% | 10 |
| 718d | Bildungsanstalt | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump>99¢ | $5,696 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 718d | scout2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump88¢ → 100¢ | $8,697 | +$1,165 +13% | 12 |
| 718d | OysterFarm | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | −$50 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | kingfisher | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump99¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | −$22 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | CandleEater | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump99¢ → 100¢ | $110,558 | −$1,117 −1.0% | — |
| 718d | CandleEater4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump98¢ → 100¢ | $90,735 | +$1,479 +1.6% | 10 |
| 718d |  pocahontasporker26 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump80¢ → 100¢ | $163,403 | −$41,896 −26% | — |
| 718d | AZwater3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump97¢ → 100¢ | $39,912 | +$1,331 +3.3% | 11 |
| 718d |  occasionalAwareness4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump75¢ → 100¢ | $24,985 | +$8,224 +33% | 10 |
| 718d | hmmmmm-3654 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump97¢ → 100¢ | $27,472 | +$788 +2.9% | 10 |
| 718d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump97¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | −$64 −3.3% | — |
| 718d |  Coram_Deo7 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump97¢ → 100¢ | $25,774 | +$912 +3.5% | 10 |
| 718d | Vilgefortz4 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump87¢ → 100¢ | $7,191 | +$1,121 +16% | 12 |
| 718d |  Griffiths | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyKamala5¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | −$1,130 −100% | 11 |
| 718d | carp2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump99¢ → 100¢ | $6,843 | +$67 +1.0% | 10 |
| 718d | AcidBurn954 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump98¢ → 100¢ | $21,464 | +$360 +1.7% | 11 |
| 718d | allen111 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump98¢ → 100¢ | $9,839 | −$240 −2.4% | — |
| 718d | pocahontasporker36 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump85¢ → 100¢ | $186,002 | +$33,358 +18% | 10 |
| 718d |  456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump94¢ → 100¢ | $9,309 | +$570 +6.1% | 10 |
| 718d | drawer-sample | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump97¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$34 +3.3% | 11 |
| 718d |  kytszkyrzkytzytxzkytxt | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump96¢ → 100¢ | $2,666 | +$123 +4.6% | 11 |
| 718d | annarm3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump95¢ → 100¢ | $17,346 | +$827 +4.8% | 10 |
| 718d | kingfisher3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump93¢ → 100¢ | $88,831 | +$6,469 +7.3% | 10 |
| 718d | nedst | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump94¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$119 +6.4% | 12 |
| 719d | SexPistols2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$300 +6.4% | 12 |
| 719d | kingfisher3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala12¢ → 0¢ | $5,236 | +$5,236 +100% | — |
| 719d |  Mrmarket3343 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump85¢ → 100¢ | $8,286 | +$1,436 +17% | 12 |
| 719d | cashmoneyy | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump93¢ → 100¢ | $7,294 | +$567 +7.8% | 12 |
| 719d |  DonaldinhoTrumpito3 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyKamala22¢ → 0¢ | $5,861 | −$5,861 −100% | 24 |
| 719d | steve1592 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$162 +8.1% | 12 |
| 719d | pocahontasporker5 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyKamala36¢ → 0¢ | $12,288 | −$12,288 −100% | 17 |
| 719d |  TortugaGorda | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala14¢ → 0¢ | $1,478 | +$1,478 +100% | — |
| 719d | OysterFarm2 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump85¢ → 100¢ | $5,975 | +$1,023 +17% | 14 |
| 719d | Orange-Commuter | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala15¢ → 0¢ | $1,733 | +$1,733 +100% | — |
| 719d | Bildungsanstalt | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump85¢ → 100¢ | $4,905 | +$881 +18% | 14 |
| 719d | TortugaGorda | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyKamala19¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 21 |
| 719d | Orange-Commuter | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyKamala17¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 22 |
| 719d | GHLOSOSO | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala15¢ → 0¢ | $1,524 | +$1,524 +100% | — |
| 719d | randomguy1232 fills | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala17¢ → 0¢ | $2,344 | +$2,344 +100% | — |
| 719d | abed777-3 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump84¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$201 +19% | 14 |
| 719d | allen111 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | BuyTrump84¢ → 100¢ | $9,062 | +$1,786 +20% | 14 |
| 719d | bett0r1 | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellTrump80¢ → 100¢ | $1,743 | −$436 −25% | — |
| 719d | Carlyle | Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | SellKamala20¢ → 0¢ | $2,020 | +$2,020 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Kamala" if Kamala Harris is the odds-favorite on Polymarket the day before the election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump is the odds-favorite the day before the election. The odds-favorite the day before the election will be determined by taking an average of Kamala and Trump's odds in the 12-hour period between noon (12 PM ET) and midnight (12 AM ET) on November 4, 2024. The average will be calculated using prices in every 10 minute interval within the 12-hour period, and averaging them once midnight has passed. This market description will be updated with those data points and averages once they have been calculated. The resolution source for this market is https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024, specifically the markets for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.