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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2% | 100% | +81 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤0.1% | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.3% | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0.4% | 0% | −25 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ≥0.5% | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 590d |  noreasapa | ≤0.1% | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,543 | +$11 +0.2% | 10 |
| 590d |  AgricultureSecretary | 0.3% | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | +$54 +3.1% | 10 |
| 590d | AgricultureSecretary | 0.2% | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,824 | +$259 +3.8% | 10 |
| 590d | 😏😏😏 | 0.2% | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$405 +37% | 10 |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the number the one-month seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased in February 2025 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which reports to the one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0.2% means the market gives it about 100%.