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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 85% | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 90% | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80% | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 321d |  Chims | ↓ 90% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 321d |  taut-dogwood | ↓ 85% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 321d | taut-dogwood | ↓ 80% | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,714 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
brewpeople13 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in December?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-december?tid=1764689490935) is priced under the listed value for any four-hour period ending by December 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in December?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/odds-of-us-x-venezuela-military-engagement-in-2025-over-50-by-friday or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 85% means the market gives it about 0%.