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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >20% | 0% | −65 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >40% | 0% | −2 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >30% | 0% | −26 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >25% | 0% | −38 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
Cartulio60 shares
Bigthecat40 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for '25 bps decrease' in the "Fed decision in January?" market (https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1764799281194) is priced over the listed value between 2:00 PM ET and 5:59 PM ET on Wednesday, December 10, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for '25 bps decrease' in the “Fed decision in January?” market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/fed-derivative-jan-25bps-cut-over-20-on-december-10 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the four-hour window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >20% means the market gives it about 0%.
