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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 bps decrease | 100% | +3 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · >99¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 75+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50 bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| No Change | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,343 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | longtern2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,728 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | looserb | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $4,063 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  site-sakini | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $2,194 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | affs20791 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $4,006 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  MettaWorldPeace00 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | vesper2 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,536 | −$131 −2.0% | — |
| 674d |  Apsalar | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,473 | +$6 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  bosshog | 50 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  tsybka | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,062 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | DapperChapper | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,170 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  Anjun2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,144 | +$12 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $7,275 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | Fermat | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,887 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | yinang | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | fuliji1 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | luotuo123 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  ehhhemmm | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $3,154 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | longtern | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $5,066 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $3,425 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | BreadGet | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | hippoka | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $2,182 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | No Change | SellNo>99¢ | $16,344 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $5,241 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | Lopgft | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $5,662 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  trumpetplayer | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | wokerjoesleeper2 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $16,437 | −$63 −0.4% | — |
| 674d |  Hannah-Montana | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d |  hans.evans | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,917 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | HH168 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $2,716 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 674d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $68,999 | +$69 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  Infringe | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,042 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  MrNFT | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,296 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  Car2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,985 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  AgricultureSecretary | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 10 |
| 674d | TheBoyBilly... | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,960 | +$40 +0.4% | 10 |
| 674d |  Gemini456 | No Change | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,834 | +$11 +0.4% | 10 |
| 674d |  pirateshere | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,049 | +$6 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | Siziriv19 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $100,886 | −$3,052 −3.0% | — |
| 674d | Immense-Predecessor | 25 bps decrease | SellYes>99¢ | $1,508 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 674d | trumpetplayer3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $29,034 | +$295 +1.0% | 10 |
| 674d | b1d00256-1e29-498c-8984-ac55cb860cdd | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$29 +0.8% | 10 |
| 674d | jjf | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$17 +1.3% | 10 |
| 674d | polyproguy | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$42 +3.1% | 10 |
| 674d |  XAE12Archangel | 25 bps decrease | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,894 | −$142 −2.9% | — |
| 674d |  Kickstand7 | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $27,661 | +$630 +2.3% | 10 |
| 674d |  BlackSky123 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | −$60 −3.1% | — |
| 674d | semi | 25 bps decrease | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | −$72 −3.2% | — |
| 674d |  456ythgbvcadscvb11 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $21,430 | +$701 +3.3% | 11 |
| 674d | abeautifulmind5 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,628 | +$115 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d |  rulorade | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo3¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 10 |
| 674d | cigarettes46 fills | No Change | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $170,896 | +$4,469 +2.6% | 10 |
| 674d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,587 | +$114 +2.0% | 10 |
| 674d | 456ythgbvcadscvb4 fills | 50 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $12,612 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 674d | 456ythgbvcadscvb6 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $13,503 | −$320 −2.4% | — |
| 674d | name418 | No Change | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$25 +2.1% | 10 |
| 674d | cigarettes122 fills | 50 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $498,674 | +$1,237 +0.2% | 10 |
| 674d | name418 | 25 bps decrease | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,707 | −$172 −2.6% | — |
| 674d | 0xe639e41094bbeae18g3e6d1790c17299183f082a16 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $84,025 | +$1,808 +2.2% | 10 |
| 674d | scanner9 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $153,190 | +$4,186 +2.7% | 11 |
ConviviumCapital108,683 sharesThis is a market on the anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate decision for December 2024.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 25 bps decrease means the market gives it about 100%.