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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 bps increase? | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 25 bps decrease? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 25 bps increase? | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 997d | professorx | 25 bps decrease? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,794 | +$23 +0.4% | 10 |
| 997d | professorx | 0 bps increase? | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,203 | +$19 +0.4% | 10 |
| 997d | StandardAndPoor5002 fills | 25 bps decrease? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,222 | +$42 +0.4% | 10 |
| 997d | StandardAndPoor500 | 0 bps increase? | BuyYes100¢ | $2,100 | +$11 +0.5% | 10 |
| 1016d |  unknowndemonzs | 25 bps decrease? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,881 | +$201 +1.0% | 10 |
| 1020d |  McDonalds-Employee | 25 bps decrease? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$30 +1.5% | 10 |
| 1022d |  taut-dogwood | 25 bps decrease? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,153 | +$35 +1.6% | 10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 0 bps increase? means the market gives it about 100%.