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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 814d |  meowinglion | 25 bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $1,529 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 814d | professorx2 fills | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,879 | +$151 +3.9% | 11 |
| 814d | commeowder | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 814d |  50Whence | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$48 +1.6% | 10 |
| 814d | 0xfe91…70ff | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,232 | +$53 +0.5% | 10 |
| 814d | bama124 | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,740 | +$260 +2.7% | 10 |
| 814d | bama124 | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $15,399 | +$390 +2.5% | 10 |
| 814d | professorx2 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,648 | +$40 +0.1% | 10 |
| 814d | professorx2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,116 | +$51 +0.1% | 10 |
| 814d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | No Change | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,822 | −$72 −2.6% | — |
| 814d |  enderone | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,647 | +$5 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | trumpian | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$33 +2.4% | 10 |
| 814d |  funnyday5 fills | No Change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $13,094 | +$636 +4.9% | 11 |
| 814d | funnyday | 50+ bps decrease | SellNo>99¢ | $2,510 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 814d | JohnFrumAmerica | No Change | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,723 | −$75 −2.8% | — |
| 814d | 456ythgbvcadscvb2 fills | No Change | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $28,893 | +$680 +2.4% | 10 |
| 814d | Lfg1236 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $31,837 | +$1,272 +4.0% | 11 |
| 814d | 456ythgbvcadscvb3 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $14,107 | +$411 +2.9% | 10 |
| 814d |  d1k21 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,489 | +$15 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | Wester67 | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,781 | +$5 +0.3% | 10 |
| 814d | Enysu86 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,652 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d |  CryptoBecu | No Change | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,462 | −$127 −5.2% | — |
| 814d | CryptoBecu | No Change | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$89 +3.5% | 10 |
| 814d |  Cadabra | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | +$62 +4.4% | 11 |
| 814d | Cadabra2 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $40,320 | +$1,715 +4.3% | 11 |
| 814d | enderone | No Change | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,756 | −$192 −5.1% | — |
| 814d | Nora7577 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Nora7577 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 814d | Christian7444 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,088 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Christian7444 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,090 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | Austin7222 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,033 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Austin7222 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,034 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | Mila7111 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,142 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Mila7111 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,144 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | Zachary70000 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,154 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Zachary70000 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,156 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 814d | Peter666 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,087 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 814d | Peter666 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,088 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 815d |  Arbguy | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $49,980 | +$2,149 +4.3% | 11 |
| 815d | aleph-115 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $40,001 | +$63 +0.2% | 10 |
| 815d | aleph-115 fills | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,913 | +$151 +0.4% | 10 |
| 815d | aleph-115 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $37,913 | +$2,151 +5.7% | 10 |
| 815d |  elmcap23 fills | No Change | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $21,165 | +$1,097 +5.2% | 11 |
| 815d | elmcap24 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $43,820 | +$2,115 +4.8% | 11 |
| 815d | diskdoctor | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$122 +4.1% | 11 |
| 815d | Olivia5111 | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,126 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 815d | Olivia5111 | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,129 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 815d | Samuel50002 fills | 25 bps decrease | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | −$84 −4.2% | — |
| 815d | Samuel50002 fills | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,014 | +$80 +4.0% | 11 |
| 815d | Claire4999 | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 815d | Harangue | 25+ bps increase | SellNo100¢ | $1,094 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 815d | Chloe47777 | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 815d | d1k21 | 50+ bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 10 |
| 815d | d1k212 fills | No Change | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,813 | −$322 −6.7% | — |
| 815d | Effervescent | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,026 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 815d | jjf | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$67 +4.4% | 11 |
| 815d | Obdurate | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,027 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 815d | Zany | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 815d | Zestful | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 815d | whyyi | No Change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,220 | +$266 +4.3% | 11 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Change means the market gives it about 100%.