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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 50+ bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 25 bps decrease | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 25+ bps increase | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 947d | professorx3 fills | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $28,457 | +$153 +0.5% | 10 |
| 947d | professorx | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,310 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 948d | 68D00B23d | 25 bps decrease | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$4 +0.4% | 10 |
| 948d | 68D00B23d | 25+ bps increase | SellNo>99¢ | $1,101 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 948d | 68D00B23d | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,586 | +$14 +0.2% | 10 |
| 950d |  d1k21 | No change | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 10 |
| 957d | Kapii | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,108 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 961d |  Squee | No change | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,298 | −$197 −4.6% | — |
| 964d | Squee | No change | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,891 | +$166 +4.3% | 10 |
| 967d |  Anjun2 fills | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,036 | +$103 +2.6% | 10 |
| 967d |  truthteller | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,500 | +$500 +2.6% | 10 |
| 967d | Argh | 25+ bps increase | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,875 | +$125 +2.6% | 10 |
| 970d | professorx | 25+ bps increase | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$28 −2.7% | — |
| 976d |  NPC#22 | 25+ bps increase | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 15 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No change means the market gives it about 100%.