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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tajikistan | 100% | +79 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China PR | 0% | −56 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (China PR vs. Tajikistan) | 0% | −25 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17d |  Fishy-Acrrrer | China PR | SellNo>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17d |  ZaiZoiBele | Tajikistan | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,384 | +$104 +7.5% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp2 fills | Tajikistan | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $3,343 | +$347 +10% | 4 |
| 17d | 0xbf2342fds234423d | Tajikistan | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,433 | +$254 +7.4% | 4 |
| 17d | metrozhang27 | China PR | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,961 | −$137 −2.3% | — |
| 17d | GoalLineGhost | Draw (China PR vs. Tajikistan) | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$198 +15% | 4 |
| 17d | 0xbf2342fds234423d | Tajikistan | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$210 −19% | — |
| 17d | vdsgsdfgb | Tajikistan | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | −$276 −19% | — |
| 17d | fxxktennx | Tajikistan | SellYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,147 | −$219 −19% | — |
| 17d | Fishy-Acrrrer | China PR | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 4 |
| 17d | 0xbf2342fds234423d | China PR | SellNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | −$682 −45% | — |
| 17d | useruserlol | Tajikistan | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,664 | +$5,067 +304% | 4 |
| 17d | Flaznorp | China PR | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$552 +54% | 4 |
| 17d | glennyorkshire | China PR | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,336 | +$1,336 +100% | — |
| 17d | metrozhang27 | China PR | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$3,171 +108% | 14 |
| 18d | Zzzz87 | China PR | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $2,803 | −$2,803 −100% | 12 |
| 18d | Zzzz873 fills | Tajikistan | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $4,716 | −$4,716 −100% | 9 |
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between China PR and Tajikistan.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tajikistan means the market gives it about 100%.