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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland | 100% | +55 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | 0% | −29 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guinea | 0% | −24 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136d | Young-Ruin | Northern Ireland | SellYes>99¢ | $3,088 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 136d | Carrylicious | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,058 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 136d | maktemp | Guinea | SellNo>99¢ | $4,842 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 136d | maktemp | Northern Ireland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 136d | 471pd | Northern Ireland | SellYes>99¢ | $1,068 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 136d |  RM4 | Northern Ireland | SellYes>99¢ | $3,728 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 136d |  ZaiZoiBele | Northern Ireland | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$24 −2.0% | — |
| 136d | Quintessential-Establishment | Northern Ireland | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,479 | −$268 −18% | — |
| 136d |  RN1 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$216 +19% | 4 |
| 136d | ZaiZoiBele | Northern Ireland | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,194 | +$1,544 +48% | 4 |
| 136d | ZaiZoiBele | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,215 | +$1,929 +60% | 4 |
| 136d | RN1 | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$156 +14% | 4 |
| 136d | GoalLineGhost3 fills | Northern Ireland | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $5,419 | +$2,165 +40% | 4 |
| 136d | RM4 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$1,231 +49% | 4 |
| 136d | anon.1980.1234 fills | Guinea | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $8,820 | +$640 +7.3% | 4 |
| 136d | prediction101 | Northern Ireland | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$462 +40% | 4 |
| 136d | maktemp | Northern Ireland | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$402 +37% | 4 |
| 136d | maktemp | Guinea | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,940 | +$343 +8.7% | 4 |
| 137d | 0x594d…059d | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $12,267 | +$5,332 +43% | 14 |
| 137d | vamiss | Draw (Northern Ireland vs. Guinea) | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,193 | +$536 +45% | 14 |
| 137d | Young-Ruin | Northern Ireland | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$1,745 +130% | 14 |
| 137d | zzaqq2 | Northern Ireland | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,141 | −$1,141 −100% | 12 |
| 137d | Zzzz87 | Northern Ireland | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,996 | −$1,996 −100% | 12 |
| 137d | aa33dd | Northern Ireland | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,763 | −$2,763 −100% | 12 |
| 137d | 43334 | Northern Ireland | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,760 | −$2,760 −100% | 12 |
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Thursday, June 4, 2026 between Northern Ireland and Guinea.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Northern Ireland means the market gives it about 100%.