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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 100% | +72 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | −46 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Draw (Poland vs. Ukraine) | 0% | −28 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | chrxsontherun | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $4,063 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Awkward-Perspective | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,090 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Mkens | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $4,231 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | ventop | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,487 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Shallow-Actor | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,209 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | d008 | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | anon.1980.123 | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | 0xddcb…1815 | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | 471pd | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $2,054 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | incenivisehem | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $2,407 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Notradecopy | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,875 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | HimTooTrill | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Poland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,214 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 145d | Reckless-SidewalkNew account | Ukraine | SellYes>99¢ | $1,045 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 145d | Ukraine | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,900 | +$6 +0.3% | 4 | |
| 145d | swisstony5 fills | Poland | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $20,910 | +$911 +4.4% | 4 |
| 145d | 471pd | Poland | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$56 +2.8% | 4 |
| 145d | GoalLineGhost5 fills | Ukraine | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $12,184 | +$2,555 +21% | 4 |
| 145d | swisstony | Ukraine | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$382 +20% | 4 |
| 145d | chrxsontherun | Ukraine | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$767 +23% | 4 |
| 145d | RichSK | Poland | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,690 | −$89 −5.3% | — |
| 145d | anon.1980.123 | Poland | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$200 +4.2% | 4 |
| 145d | incenivisehem | Ukraine | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$410 +20% | 4 |
| 145d | 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27A | Poland | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | −$640 −28% | — |
| 145d | Poland | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$2,110 +96% | 4 | |
| 145d | Poland | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $4,799 | +$4,799 +100% | — | |
| 145d | GoalLineGhost2 fills | Poland | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $3,149 | −$3,149 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | 0xc1dA8SO23a3D915E7FcA367bbBFSO4E74DSO27A2 fills | Poland | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $4,016 | +$3,621 +90% | 4 |
| 145d | az27 | Poland | SellYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | +$1,039 +100% | — |
| 145d | swisstony | Ukraine | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $2,624 | −$2,624 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Poland | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $8,407 | −$8,407 −100% | 4 | |
| 145d | GoalLineGhost | Ukraine | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | 4 |
| 145d | Poland | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$1,157 −96% | — | |
| 145d | GoalLineGhost | Poland | BuyNo47¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$1,802 +113% | 4 |
| 145d | sirko1334 fills | Poland | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $10,702 | +$9,798 +92% | 4 |
| 145d | VPenguin | Ukraine | BuyYes25¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$3,069 +300% | 4 |
| 145d | Draw (Poland vs. Ukraine) | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$527 +35% | 13 | |
| 145d | Zzzz87 | Poland | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,748 | −$1,748 −100% | 14 |
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Sunday, May 31, 2026 between Poland and Ukraine.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ukraine means the market gives it about 100%.