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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Byrne | 100% | +13 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Everett Blunck | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kathleen Chalamet | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Chang Chen | 0% | −9 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joel Edgerton | 0% | −6 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dylan O'Brien | 0% | −11 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Keke Palmer | 0% | −7 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Théodore Pellerin | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tessa Thompson | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Whishaw | 0% | −15 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actor A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Théodore Pellerin | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,164 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Kathleen Chalamet | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,026 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Keke Palmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,336 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Tessa Thompson | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Joel Edgerton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,254 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Chang Chen | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,421 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 250d | Trustinghorse | Dylan O'Brien | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,312 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
bjprolo50 sharesThe Film Independent Spirit Awards are presented annually by Film Independent. The ceremony for the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards is scheduled for February 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Lead Performance at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Film Independent Spirit Awards and the official Film Independent website (https://www.filmindependent.org/spirit-awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Rose Byrne means the market gives it about 100%.