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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Beltran | 100% | +28 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Marcel | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Peters | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert "Rocky" Rochford | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gavriel Soriano | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kevin Steele | 0% | −27 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ergin "Batman" Tek | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bea Valenti | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d |  probability | Mike Beltran | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,506 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 68d | Melody626 | Mike Beltran | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | +$779 +47% | 15 |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mike Beltran means the market gives it about 100%.