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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 100% | +2 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 35 | 100% | +3 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | zxc368 | 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 279d | regale | 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,336 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 286d | 0xeb9d…e31b | 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$40 +3.4% | 11 |
LaBefana80 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 1 of 2026, is at least as high as the specified number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 1, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 30 means the market gives it about 100%.