Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 - 60 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <30 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 30 - 40 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40 - 50 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60 - 70 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >70 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 274d | Each-Bench | 30 - 40 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,327 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Each-Bench | <30 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,093 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Each-Bench | 30 - 40 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,327 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 274d | Each-Bench | <30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
bjprolo50 sharesThis market will resolve according to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported for Week 2 of 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for Week 2, 2025 will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 50 - 60 means the market gives it about 100%.