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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $70M | 100% | +8 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $100M | 100% | +36 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| $500M | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $200M | 0% | −10 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $1B | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| $300M | 0% | −1 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280d | germionaorange | $70M | SellYes>99¢ | $1,228 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 281d | Hpp3 | $70M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,229 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | zannie | $70M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,474 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | $70M | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 281d | $100M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,380 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 281d | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,260 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 281d | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,384 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 281d | deepmouse | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,800 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | SorikBro | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $2,004 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 281d | Alwaysclean | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | sportbetss | $100M | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$284 +19% | 2 |
| 281d | fengshengshuiqi88 | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 281d | fengshengshuiqi88 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | deepmouse | $500M | SellNo>99¢ | $3,627 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 281d | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 281d | Matelleti | $200M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,850 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 281d | $300M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 281d | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,178 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 281d | deepmouse | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,900 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | RedGnomys | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,257 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | evaelif | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,844 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 281d | fghfh22 | $70M | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | −$225 −12% | — |
| 281d | $100M | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | −$1,389 −100% | 2 | |
| 281d | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 282d | germionaorange | $70M | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$226 +22% | 2 |
| 282d | Ryan1365 | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,396 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 282d | baget | $300M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,505 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 282d | Bankrupt-Loser | $200M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$53 +3.1% | 2 |
| 282d | 3b3t | $200M | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,258 | +$42 +3.3% | 2 |
| 282d | popkamakaki | $200M | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,779 | +$134 +7.5% | 2 |
| 282d | Clalina | $70M | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$177 +17% | 2 |
| 282d | $100M | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,883 | −$1,883 −100% | 2 | |
| 282d | mamulikk | $100M | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,356 | −$1,356 −100% | 2 |
| 282d | nuli228 | $70M | SellYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | −$319 −30% | — |
| 282d | FreeWillyR | $70M | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$390 +29% | 2 |
| 282d | $200M | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | −$75 −6.7% | — | |
| 282d | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,504 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 282d | pzong888 | $70M | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $2,954 | −$2,046 −69% | — |
| 282d | teja20262 fills | $70M | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $14,360 | +$3,640 +25% | 2 |
| 282d | Hpp32 fills | $300M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,856 | +$144 +5.0% | 2 |
| 282d | mamulikk | $70M | BuyNo20¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | −$1,052 −100% | 2 |
| 282d | 9610 | $100M | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $2,110 | +$1,064 +50% | 2 |
| 282d | $500M | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$40 −4.0% | — | |
| 282d | ProfitableTrades | $100M | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 2 |
| 283d | NONOBILITYINPOVERTY | $70M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,205 | +$245 +11% | 2 |
| 283d | Sk0rp | $70M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$337 +11% | 2 |
| 283d | tofar0x | $300M | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,514 | +$57 +3.8% | 2 |
| 283d | ironsidecrypto | $100M | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$658 +44% | 2 |
| 283d | $70M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,590 | +$454 +9.9% | 2 | |
| 283d | SorikBro | $500M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 283d | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,435 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 283d | 0x050A | $70M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$151 +11% | 2 |
| 283d | deepmouse | $1B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 284d | fghfh22 | $70M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$185 +9.3% | 2 |
| 284d | $70M | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 3 | |
| 289d | Lone-Guideline | $100M | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | +$315 +27% | 2 |
| 290d | $500M | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | −$49 −4.8% | — | |
| 302d | $70M | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | −$770 −47% | — | |
| 303d | $70M | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $1,448 | −$1,448 −100% | 3 | |
| 304d | hersheys77 | $70M | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,761 | −$1,241 −45% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Football.Fun's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Football.Fun doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $70M means the market gives it about 100%.