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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlsen vs. Abdusattorov | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vachier-Lagrave vs. Caruana | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Erigaisi vs. Nakamura | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 561d |  b1l1g1d1grew1 | Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer | SellKeymer>99¢ | $1,001 | — | — |
| 561d | iamgone | Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer | BuyKeymer96¢ | $2,759 | — | 5 |
| 562d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer | BuyNepomniachtchi65¢ → 0¢ | $1,679 | −$1,679 −100% | 12 |
| 562d | alex562 | Nepomniachtchi vs. Keymer | BuyKeymer43¢ | $1,292 | — | 12 |
| 562d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Carlsen vs. Abdusattorov | BuyCarlsen95¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$75 +5.7% | 5 |
This is a market on the outcomes of the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris Quarterfinal matchups.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlsen vs. Abdusattorov means the market gives it about 100%.