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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnus Carlsen | 100% | +8 pts | +58 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Dommaraju Gukesh | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −7 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −12 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alireza Firouzja | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | −19 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hans Moke Niemann | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | −11 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maxime Vachier-Lagrave | 0% | −4 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vidit Santosh Gujrathi | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 558d |  BigBlackGorilla | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,221 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 558d | froghead | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $2,541 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 558d |  Cronus66 | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $1,444 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 558d | JSoon2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,465 | −$224 −3.5% | — |
| 558d |  LookBehindYou | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes>99¢ | $3,377 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 558d | iamgone2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $9,482 | +$566 +6.0% | 6 |
| 558d | morcatk0 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,097 | +$43 +2.0% | 5 |
| 558d | LookBehindYou | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,143 | +$237 +7.5% | 6 |
| 558d | BigBlackGorilla | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$86 +7.5% | 6 |
| 558d | JSoon | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$99 +7.5% | 6 |
| 558d | JSoon3 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,036 | +$360 +7.2% | 6 |
| 559d | iamgone2 fills | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | +$312 +12% | 5 |
| 559d |  b1l1g1d1grew1 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,349 | +$702 +30% | 8 |
| 559d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $3,432 | +$1,084 +32% | 8 |
| 559d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,850 | +$594 +32% | 8 |
| 559d |  🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,335 | −$1,335 −100% | 9 |
| 559d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | −$1,223 −43% | — |
| 560d | alex562 | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 4 |
| 560d | iamgone | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,797 | −$2,797 −100% | 9 |
| 561d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥 | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,995 | +$1,226 +12% | 5 |
| 561d | 🔥DumfuqDecrap🔥CHEATSatWORDLE🔥2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $4,860 | +$4,205 +87% | 6 |
| 561d | eerooftime | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $3,925 | −$3,925 −100% | 6 |
| 562d | S-Works | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,600 | +$400 +4.2% | 4 |
| 562d | S-Works | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,245 | +$12 +0.2% | 4 |
| 562d | Quinlith | Magnus Carlsen | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $10,188 | −$9,789 −96% | — |
| 562d | Jexrian | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $9,389 | −$9,389 −100% | 6 |
| 562d | Doggieson | Magnus Carlsen | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$695 +69% | 6 |
| 563d | S-Works | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $22,286 | +$2,552 +11% | 5 |
| 564d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Vidit Santosh Gujrathi | SellNo>99¢ | $1,408 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 564d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B92 fills | Alireza Firouzja | SellNo>99¢ | $5,641 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 565d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Vidit Santosh Gujrathi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$27 +1.4% | 4 |
| 565d | Waterfall412 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $3,071 | −$3,071 −100% | 4 |
| 565d | Waterfall412 | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$122 +8.9% | 4 |
| 566d | Waterfall412 | Hans Moke Niemann | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,979 | +$258 +2.2% | 4 |
| 567d | tigercager | Vidit Santosh Gujrathi | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 567d | 0x79a009b7C0336273Bf3Bc7E1D940aD3e2152B9 | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,798 | +$249 +3.2% | 4 |
| 568d | ckw | Alireza Firouzja | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,249 | +$210 +6.5% | 4 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Paris competition.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Magnus Carlsen means the market gives it about 100%.