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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levon Aronian | 100% | +58 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Magnus Carlsen | 0% | −54 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fabiano Caruana | 0% | −15 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 0% | −30 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nodirbek Abdusattorov | 0% | −11 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wesley So | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 0% | −22 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dommaraju Gukesh | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leinier Domínguez | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Hans Niemann | 0% | −58 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vincent Keymer | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Praggnanandhaa R | 0% | −11 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bibisara Assaubayeva | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Javokhir Sindarov | 0% | −6 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vidit Gujrathi | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ray Robson | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Samuel Sevian | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460d |  thepunisher | Levon Aronian | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 460d | .............k | Levon Aronian | SellYes>99¢ | $1,160 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 460d | Sharky6999 | Levon Aronian | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,808 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 460d | purpleunicorn | Levon Aronian | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,097 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 460d |  MrZarvok | Levon Aronian | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 4 |
| 460d | bismuth | Levon Aronian | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$92 +5.7% | 4 |
| 460d |  Parz1vaI | Hans Niemann | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$511 +37% | 4 |
| 461d |  Debosnys | Hans Niemann | BuyYes89¢ → 0¢ | $1,082 | −$1,082 −100% | 4 |
| 461d |  RelaySucks | Hans Niemann | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,751 | +$1,751 +100% | — |
| 461d | RelaySucks | Levon Aronian | SellNo57¢ → 0¢ | $1,198 | +$1,198 +100% | — |
| 461d |  Cookedtan | Levon Aronian | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,411 | −$1,411 −100% | 4 |
| 461d | asianandy | Hans Niemann | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $4,999 | −$4,999 −100% | 4 |
| 462d |  LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Hans Niemann | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$149 +12% | 7 |
| 462d | Debosnys | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,118 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 462d | LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,628 | +$42 +1.6% | 4 |
| 463d | RelaySucks | Levon Aronian | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,052 | −$1,052 −100% | 5 |
| 463d | RelaySucks2 fills | Hans Niemann | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $5,968 | −$5,968 −100% | 9 |
| 463d | Sharky6999 | Praggnanandhaa R | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,169 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 463d | RelaySucks2 fills | Praggnanandhaa R | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,101 | +$229 +1.3% | 4 |
| 463d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Praggnanandhaa R | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,241 | +$14 +1.1% | 4 |
| 463d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Javokhir Sindarov | SellNo>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 463d | LEONIDOVITCH19832 fills | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,988 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 463d |  gopfan2 | Hans Niemann | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$121 +11% | 6 |
| 463d | waxon | Hans Niemann | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $1,782 | −$1,782 −100% | 9 |
| 463d | iamgone | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | +$142 +10% | 6 |
| 463d |  Tor972 fills | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$73 +2.5% | 4 |
| 463d | iamgone | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,478 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | RelaySucks | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$249 +19% | 7 |
| 464d | umniybet1 | Hikaru Nakamura | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$564 +35% | 8 |
| 464d | Tor974 fills | Hans Niemann | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,503 | +$395 +6.1% | 4 |
| 464d | DeathtoIslam | Magnus Carlsen | SellNo>99¢ | $3,364 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 464d | RelaySucks | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | Debosnys2 fills | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $31,219 | +$472 +1.5% | 4 |
| 464d | Debosnys | Levon Aronian | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $1,778 | −$1,778 −100% | 4 |
| 464d | Tor97 | Samuel Sevian | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | Tor972 fills | Leinier Domínguez | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,840 | +$22 +0.2% | 4 |
| 464d | RelaySucks | Ray Robson | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,698 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | Tor97 | Magnus Carlsen | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$828 +60% | 9 |
| 464d | RelaySucks | Wesley So | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,976 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | RelaySucks | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,989 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | Tor97 | Vidit Gujrathi | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,481 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 464d | Tor97 | Wesley So | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,145 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 465d | Tor973 fills | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,373 | +$52 +0.8% | 4 |
| 465d | LEONIDOVITCH1983 | Vincent Keymer | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,348 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 465d | Tor97 | Arjun Erigaisi | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$35 +2.8% | 4 |
| 465d | Tor97 | Ray Robson | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 467d | Tor97 | Bibisara Assaubayeva | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,205 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 467d | Tor97 | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,228 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 468d | iamgone | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,329 | +$13 +0.2% | 4 |
| 468d | MrZarvok | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,559 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 468d | Parz1vaI2 fills | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,490 | +$102 +1.6% | 4 |
| 468d |  Merlot2 fills | Ian Nepomniachtchi | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,473 | +$28 +1.1% | 4 |
| 469d | Tor974 fills | Parham Maghsoodloo | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,870 | +$33 +0.4% | 4 |
| 469d | Tor972 fills | Dommaraju Gukesh | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,436 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 470d | Waterfall412 | Parham Maghsoodloo | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 472d | Waterfall412 | Fabiano Caruana | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,214 | +$192 +8.7% | 4 |
| 473d | Tor97 | Javokhir Sindarov | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$42 +3.1% | 4 |
| 473d | S-Works | Dommaraju Gukesh | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,618 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 474d | leegunner | Dommaraju Gukesh | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 475d |  Warsh-Nightmare | Nodirbek Abdusattorov | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | +$54 +4.2% | 4 |
Tamont421,000 shares
Jomber221,000 shares
Tamberton21,000 shares
Tamojin1,000 shares
Flodantyk51,000 sharesThis is a market on predicting the winner of the Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament, scheduled to take place July 16 - July 20, 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Levon Aronian means the market gives it about 100%.