Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1B | 0% | −4 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $600M | 0% | −43 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $400M | 100% | +15 pts | +35 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| $800M | 0% | −9 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $2B | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $1.5B | 0% | −14 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| $200M | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | TravisKendrick | $400M | SellYes>99¢ | $4,339 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 175d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | $400M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,793 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | sdasdasdad1243 | $400M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 175d | OfferLifter | $400M | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,421 | +$79 +3.2% | 2 |
| 175d | xiaoxue6731 | $600M | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,900 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | xiaoxue6731 | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,002 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | xuejiao | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,774 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d |  TTokin2 fills | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,194 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | najim62 | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 176d | h00ch | $200M | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | −$30 −1.5% | — |
| 176d | rusgreat | $800M | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 176d | rusgreat | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 176d | rusgreat | $1B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 176d | asketdao | $600M | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 2 |
| 176d | gydmasg2 fills | $600M | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,653 | +$545 +21% | 2 |
| 176d |  medvedman | $1B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,385 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 176d |  ke1pie | $200M | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,797 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 176d | Tianhe | $400M | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | −$438 −25% | — |
| 176d | Marioy | $400M | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,150 | −$318 −15% | — |
| 176d |  scout1337 | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,804 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 177d | 0xdamocles | $400M | SellNo31¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | +$1,069 +100% | — |
| 177d | 0xdamocles | $2B | SellNo>99¢ | $1,524 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 177d |  sipp-4 fills | $800M | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $5,163 | −$1,430 −28% | — |
| 177d |  snehal83 | $2B | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 177d | kevin-airdrop | $800M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,445 | +$136 +9.4% | 2 |
| 177d | 1881aa | $200M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$55 +4.4% | 2 |
| 177d |  rodeoeth | $400M | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | −$1,151 −103% | — |
| 177d | 1881aa | $400M | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | −$1,137 −77% | — |
| 177d | artem.varfo | $600M | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$680 +52% | 2 |
| 177d |  mewmew1 | $1.5B | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$44 +3.4% | 2 |
| 177d |  RowdyBhai | $1B | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | −$130 −12% | — |
| 177d | anishWTF | $1B | SellNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | −$1,228 −96% | — |
| 177d | 1881aa | $400M | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 2 |
| 177d |  alexkarman | $400M | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,243 | +$528 +16% | 2 |
| 177d | artem.varfo | $800M | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | +$673 +33% | 2 |
| 177d |  sona66 | $600M | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 178d | TravisKendrick | $400M | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$728 +22% | 2 |
| 178d | sdasdasdad1243 | $400M | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$378 +25% | 2 |
| 179d | dastinmoredastin | $600M | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $1,233 | +$724 +59% | 2 |
| 179d | moronbet | $800M | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,205 | +$373 +31% | 2 |
| 182d | PamPoooo | $1B | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$125 +11% | 2 |
| 183d | Stupendous-Sabre2 fills | $800M | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $2,124 | −$2,124 −100% | 7 |
| 183d | MaxEnt | $400M | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $1,058 | +$866 +82% | 2 |
| 184d | tsunn | $1B | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,580 | −$947 −9.9% | — |
| 185d | Short-Following3 fills | $600M | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $12,433 | −$4,160 −33% | — |
| 188d | ssdsaw | $600M | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$123 +9.9% | 2 |
| 189d | justsoso | $600M | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$111 +11% | 2 |
| 195d |  alanhutton | $600M | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,144 | +$156 +14% | 2 |
| 198d | h00ch | $200M | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$571 +38% | 2 |
| 198d | Himmel1 | $800M | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$61 +5.3% | 2 |
| 201d | sipp- | $2B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$20 +0.7% | 2 |
| 201d | sipp-2 fills | $1.5B | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | +$39 +1.2% | 2 |
| 202d | 0xEB6789cA6b1425fF908a69a2a5469C38532C | $200M | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,897 | +$813 +43% | 2 |
| 207d | citizenju44 | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | −$61 −5.0% | — |
| 207d | industryds472 fills | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,419 | −$128 −5.3% | — |
| 207d | Grab-Dumb-Rotate | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$57 −5.0% | — |
| 207d | sing-hen | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$62 −5.0% | — |
| 207d | sing-hen | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$62 +5.0% | 2 |
| 207d | nerveFetch | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,316 | −$63 −4.8% | — |
| 207d | bean-fitness | $1B | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | −$59 −5.0% | — |
labistiiia1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Gensyn's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Gensyn (https://x.com/gensynai) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $1B means the market gives it about 0%.