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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d |  JesusReturns2026 | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,722 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 303d |  EA-SY | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,005 | +$90 +0.8% | 4 |
| 305d |  wllstrt2 fills | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,355 | −$50 −1.5% | — |
| 364d | tSJdl3KwYKG | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$77 +3.1% | 4 |
| 423d |  Jellow2 | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,251 | −$320 −7.5% | — |
| 505d | wolfmoon | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,161 | −$101 −8.7% | — |
| 522d | wllstrt2 fills | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,603 | +$268 +10% | 4 |
| 533d | Dutchland | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$144 +14% | 4 |
| 538d | Jellow2 | German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,165 | +$835 +26% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a formal application is filed at Germany’s Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) seeking to ban the political party Alternative für Deutschland (AfD) or requesting that the Court assess the constitutionality of the political party as part of a process that could lead to the party’s ban under Article 21(2) of the German Basic Law by December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The application must be officially lodged by one of the eligible entities: the Bundestag, the Bundesrat, or the Federal Government. This market does not require that the court accept or rule on the application—only that it is formally filed. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.