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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDU/CSU | 100% | +4 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| SPD | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AfD | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greens | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| BSW | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FDP | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 606d | DanielWiest | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,037 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | ElDiegoHH | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $4,105 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | mollyxz | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | MyNameIsDarkKnight | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,338 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d | Knechterus007 | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,714 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | Knechterus007 | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  JJo | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,432 | +$38 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d |  IchabodCrane | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $34,389 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | xjUprdSCI9 | SPD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,557 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | ChampaLiberation | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,038 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | K12V77 | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | 0x08ca0fb367c995d96eb12ad09d5eb8be793d2817 | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,303 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | keribit2 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $9,984 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 606d | keribit | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | Upset-Abacus | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $3,312 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  0x32632dew8fbewfew | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,641 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  Apple124z | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  GainsGambit | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,275 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | advyq | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $2,079 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 606d | advyq | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,093 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | VvVv | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  BuckMySalls2 fills | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $7,135 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 606d |  tsybka4 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,764 | +$43 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,699 | +$44 +0.3% | 10 |
| 606d | VvVv | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d |  Qualitative | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $2,078 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | Sultan77m | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $6,799 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | VvVv | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d |  sleepy-panda | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $2,897 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | Ultron1232 | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $2,190 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | tsybka3 fills | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $237,003 | +$435 +0.2% | 10 |
| 606d | GOhfa | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $9,176 | −$18 −0.2% | — |
| 606d | GOhfa | AfD | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,185 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d | Isaak👴 | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $17,465 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 606d |  ararats | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,853 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d | liyouaaa | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $2,066 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 606d | BreadGet | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $13,923 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 606d | Compliance | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 606d | 111224 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,858 | +$18 +0.1% | 10 |
| 607d | International-Chemical | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,786 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 607d | haohua | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,234 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 607d |  punishedgoon5 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $10,985 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | Monster24 | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,403 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 607d |  Astera | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $3,896 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 607d |  xoxoxololxo2 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $8,318 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | bobbyboba4 fills | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $12,853 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | Mordred | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,752 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | Qwertyking | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,296 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | bobbyboba8 fills | AfD | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $88,952 | +$865 +1.0% | 10 |
| 607d | wokerjoesleeper5 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,723 | −$275 −1.2% | — |
| 607d |  Negeto | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $22,513 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 607d |  Neil.McCauley | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $1,113 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 607d | Yoga-Nidra | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $1,073 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 607d |  DuduAI3 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $217,908 | +$673 +0.3% | 10 |
| 607d |  AngeloMerte | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $6,323 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 607d |  gopfan22 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $23,429 | −$71 −0.3% | — |
| 607d | 315182091414 fills | CDU/CSU | SellYes>99¢ | $14,666 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 607d |  d1k21 | AfD | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 607d |  LlamaEnjoyer3 fills | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,885 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 607d |  MineGuyBonds | CDU/CSU | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,854 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
AndreasAntonopolous226 sharesThis is a market on the outcomes and results of the upcoming Germany Parliamentary Election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for CDU/CSU means the market gives it about 100%.