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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $6-8b | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <$6b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $8-10b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $10-12b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $12-14b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| $14-16b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| >$16b | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 889d | professorx | $6-8b | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 889d | bbqdumplings | >$16b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 889d | 0xmaniac | $14-16b | SellNo>99¢ | $1,995 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 889d | professorx | $10-12b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,546 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 889d | professorx | $12-14b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 889d | 0xmaniac | $14-16b | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,995 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 889d | polyproguy | >$16b | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 891d | OPTIONSKING | <$6b | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$68 +6.0% | 5 |
asd
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $6-8b means the market gives it about 100%.