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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Brody | 100% | +35 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Timothée Chalamet | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniel Craig | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Colman Domingo | 0% | −3 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ralph Fiennes | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Stan | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Timothée Chalamet | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$57 +3.1% | 4 |
| 657d | affs20791 | Ralph Fiennes | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,408 | +$82 +1.5% | 4 |
| 657d | Yaremi | Adrien Brody | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,051 | +$505 +48% | 4 |
| 657d | kenkan88 | Adrien Brody | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$551 +51% | 12 |
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Performance by a Male Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Adrien Brody means the market gives it about 100%.