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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | 0% | +26 pts | +23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | 100% | +7 pts | −25 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | 0% | −1 pts | +8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams | 100% | +15 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent | 100% | +3 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another | 0% | −9 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Mescal – Hamnet | 0% | +3 pts | −39 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael B. Jordan – Sinners | 100% | −4 pts | −4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Lee Byung-hun – No Other Choice | 0% | +13 pts | +10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon | 0% | 0 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matthew McConaughey – The Lost Bus | 0% | +28 pts | +8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jeremy Allen White – Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Rami Malek – Nuremberg | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oscar Isaac – Frankenstein | 100% | +28 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Colin Farrell – Ballad of a Small Player | 0% | −2 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320d |  Birdof | Lee Byung-hun – No Other Choice | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,166 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 320d | RIU8 | Michael B. Jordan – Sinners | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 320d |  zzzx2 | Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 320d | zzzx2 | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 320d | zzzx2 | Lee Byung-hun – No Other Choice | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,317 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 320d | zzzx2 | Matthew McConaughey – The Lost Bus | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$14 +1.2% | 20 |
| 321d | Hungaje | Paul Mescal – Hamnet | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 330d |  Despicable-Fruit | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | SellYes12¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | +$3,000 +100% | — |
| 330d |  .jeet2 fills | Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$200 +5.3% | 20 |
| 331d | 20251021 | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | .jeet | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,746 | −$4,746 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | 20251021 | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 20 |
| 331d | .jeet | Russell Crowe – Nuremberg | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 20 |
| 331d | 20251021 | Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | .jeet | Daniel Day-Lewis – Anemone | BuyYes95¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | 20251021 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | .jeet | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $4,750 | −$4,750 −100% | 20 |
| 331d | 20251021 | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 20 |
| 331d | .jeet | Dwayne Johnson – The Smashing Machine | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,750 | +$250 +5.3% | 20 |
The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person is nominated for Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If, for any reason, no nominations are announced by January 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Russell Crowe – Nuremberg means the market gives it about 0%.