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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another | 100% | +5 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chloe Zhao – Hamnet | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ryan Coogler – Sinners | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kathryn Bigelow – A House of Dynamite | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Park Chan-wook – No Other Choice | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jafar Panahi – It Was Just an Accident | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Yorgos Lanthimos – Bugonia | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jon M. Chu – Wicked: For Good | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guillermo Del Toro – Frankenstein | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kleber Mendonca Filho – The Secret Agent | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| James Cameron – Avatar: Fire and Ash | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benny Safdie – The Smashing Machine | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Noah Baumbach – Jay Kelly | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | pkz | Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another | SellYes>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | OLOTH | Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,983 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 286d | OLOTH | Guillermo Del Toro – Frankenstein | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,844 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 288d | SplendidAmadeus | Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$68 +6.8% | 5 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Noah Baumbach – Jay Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,077 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Benny Safdie – The Smashing Machine | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,768 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey2 fills | James Cameron – Avatar: Fire and Ash | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,351 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Kleber Mendonca Filho – The Secret Agent | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,419 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Jon M. Chu – Wicked: For Good | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,735 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,015 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Yorgos Lanthimos – Bugonia | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,974 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Park Chan-wook – No Other Choice | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,785 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 317d | MoneyMoneyMonbey | Kathryn Bigelow – A House of Dynamite | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,082 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 319d | 11122 | Noah Baumbach – Jay Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,045 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
rivermarkets363 sharesThe Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Director at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another means the market gives it about 100%.