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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emilia Pérez | 100% | +79 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Anora | 0% | −57 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Challengers | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Real Pain | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Substance | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wicked | 0% | −16 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 656d | starburned | Emilia Pérez | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 656d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Wicked | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,953 | +$101 +1.0% | 4 |
| 656d | The Substance | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$51 +3.7% | 4 | |
| 657d | The Substance | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,107 | +$47 +4.2% | 4 |
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Emilia Pérez means the market gives it about 100%.