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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Challengers | 100% | +86 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Conclave | 0% | −28 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Brutalist | 0% | −46 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Wild Robot | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Emilia Pérez | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dune: Part Two | 0% | −6 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 655d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | The Wild Robot | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,324 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 674d | KSncncncsaed | The Brutalist | SellYes28¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | +$2,800 +100% | — |
| 674d | slakckvkvkv | The Brutalist | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$1,680 +39% | 4 |
| 674d | Jsjchttfff | The Brutalist | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $2,880 | +$1,120 +39% | 4 |
| 674d | inaczzzzz | Conclave | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $9,636 | +$9,636 +100% | — |
| 674d | ssdjczzzz | Conclave | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $6,160 | +$4,840 +79% | 4 |
| 674d | mKCKCSSS | Conclave | BuyNo56¢ → 100¢ | $6,104 | +$4,796 +79% | 4 |
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Challengers means the market gives it about 100%.