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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conclave | 100% | +96 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Emilia Pérez | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anora | 0% | −69 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Brutalist | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Real Pain | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Substance | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 660d | Whitejack89 | Anora | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,250 | −$1,250 −100% | 5 |
| 674d | jsctggggg | Anora | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $9,400 | −$10,600 −113% | — |
| 674d | nnchhhc | Anora | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $5,353 | −$5,353 −100% | 4 |
| 674d | Mhcccc | Anora | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $5,247 | −$5,247 −100% | 4 |
| 674d | Bksccccc | Anora | SellNo47¢ → 100¢ | $6,110 | −$6,890 −113% | — |
| 674d | stkcidng | Anora | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $4,240 | −$4,240 −100% | 4 |
| 674d | Ksmcyhj | Anora | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $2,650 | −$2,650 −100% | 4 |
This is a market group over who will win the Golden Globe for Best Screenplay - Motion Picture.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Conclave means the market gives it about 100%.