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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Compound (Aisling Rawle) | 100% | +20 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The Book of Lost Hours (Hayley Gelfuso) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Of Monsters and Mainframes (Barbara Truelove) | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Automatic Noodle (Annalee Newitz) | 0% | +1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Merge (Grace Walker) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Shattering Peace (John Scalzi) | 0% | −12 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Saltcrop (Yume Kitasei) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Memory Collectors (Dete Meserve) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hammajang Luck (Makana Yamamoto) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death of the Author (Nnedi Okorafor) | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| These Memories Do Not Belong to Us (Yiming Ma) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Once and Future Me (Melissa Pace) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Dream Hotel (Laila Lalami) | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dissolution (Nicholas Binge) | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Local Heavens (K.M. Fajardo) | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Poppy Fields (Nikki Erlick) | 0% | +20 pts | +5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shroud (Adrian Tchaikovsky) | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| I Think We've Been Here Before (Suzy Krause) | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When the Moon Hits Your Eye (John Scalzi) | 0% | +25 pts | +4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luminous (Silvia Park) | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Book A (Author A) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Book B (Author B) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Book C (Author C) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Book D (Author D) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Book E (Author E) | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324d | sayso | The Book of Lost Hours (Hayley Gelfuso) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 324d |  AgricultureSecretary | The Compound (Aisling Rawle) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,752 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 324d | sayso | The Book of Lost Hours (Hayley Gelfuso) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Abandoned-Counsel | Luminous (Silvia Park) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,278 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  Debosnys | Dissolution (Nicholas Binge) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,372 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Debosnys | The Once and Future Me (Melissa Pace) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,772 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Debosnys | Hammajang Luck (Makana Yamamoto) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,514 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Just2ofUs | Luminous (Silvia Park) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,537 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  BlondBeast | Local Heavens (K.M. Fajardo) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d |  Allinnothing | Hammajang Luck (Makana Yamamoto) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,849 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Allinnothing | The Memory Collectors (Dete Meserve) | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,157 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Allinnothing | Saltcrop (Yume Kitasei) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,782 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 333d | Allinnothing | The Merge (Grace Walker) | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
The Goodreads Choice Awards are presented annually by Goodreads.com. For the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards, the winners will be announced on December 4, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed book that wins the Readers' Favorite Science Fiction award in the 2025 Goodreads Choice Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed book that comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the Goodreads website (https://www.goodreads.com/choiceawards/best-books-2025); however, other credible reporting may be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for The Compound (Aisling Rawle) means the market gives it about 100%.