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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 31 | 100% | +62 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +5 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 68d |
| September 4 | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 15 | 100% | +12 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| September 30 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | Peaceful-Fire-Bell4 fills | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,179 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | RR344KK | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,179 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | Peaceful-Fire-Bell | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,358 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d |  tetrase5 fills | December 31 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $30,068 | +$732 +2.4% | 4 |
| 55d | tetrase4 fills | September 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,432 | +$503 +5.3% | 4 |
| 55d |  kejsi2 fills | August 31 | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $10,709 | +$3,153 +29% | 8 |
| 55d | tetrase2 fills | September 15 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,522 | +$414 +12% | 4 |
| 55d | tetrase | September 4 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,466 | +$163 +6.6% | 4 |
| 55d |  Rex416 | September 15 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,251 | +$66 +5.3% | 4 |
| 55d | kejsi | December 31 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$159 +3.2% | 4 |
| 55d | Rex416 | December 31 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$55 +3.7% | 4 |
| 55d |  wienerdog | September 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$126 +6.3% | 4 |
| 55d | Rex416 | September 4 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | +$672 +45% | 6 |
| 55d | Rex416 | August 31 | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,531 | +$2,531 +100% | — |
| 55d |  RainIess | August 31 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $1,427 | +$3,012 +211% | 10 |
| 55d | 988776555 | August 31 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 55d | seba9860 | September 4 | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,664 | −$1,664 −100% | 7 |
| 55d |  enri.hl2 fills | December 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,162 | −$278 −4.5% | — |
| 55d |  AllByMyseIf | September 4 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | −$570 −56% | — |
| 55d | JohnDoeHoe | September 4 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,435 | −$2,435 −100% | 9 |
| 55d |  moonlight2020 | August 31 | SellNo75¢ → 0¢ | $4,509 | +$4,509 +100% | — |
| 56d |  bussydouglas | September 15 | BuyNo18¢ → 0¢ | $1,005 | −$1,005 −100% | 4 |
| 56d | moonlight2020 | August 31 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,260 | −$2,260 −100% | 8 |
| 56d | Coarse-Mallow | September 4 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$992 +49% | 6 |
| 56d | balabalababalabala | September 4 | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$783 +54% | 6 |
| 56d |  Parz1vaI | August 31 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $8,227 | −$8,227 −100% | 7 |
| 56d |  tamenjieshixuwang2 fills | August 31 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $4,064 | −$4,064 −100% | 8 |
| 56d | tamenjieshixuwang | August 31 | SellYes23¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$3,967 −342% | — |
| 56d | LJa7io23MCv954j2 fills | September 4 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $5,436 | −$5,436 −100% | 12 |
| 56d | LJa7io23MCv954j | August 31 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $3,778 | −$3,778 −100% | 9 |
| 56d |  Optimus- | September 4 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$2,701 +45% | 6 |
| 56d | LJa7io23MCv954j | September 15 | BuyNo13¢ → 0¢ | $1,374 | −$1,374 −100% | 6 |
| 56d | bigredcap | August 31 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,113 | −$1,113 −100% | 9 |
| 56d | enri.hl | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,583 | +$136 +5.3% | 4 |
| 56d |  polio123 | August 31 | SellNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | +$1,117 +100% | — |
| 56d | 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE | August 31 | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$1,676 +161% | 9 |
| 56d | Rex416 | August 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,309 | −$1,309 −100% | 9 |
| 56d | whig | August 31 | SellYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$1,747 −141% | — |
| 56d |  paddaa | December 31 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,166 | −$138 −6.4% | — |
| 56d |  aenews2 | August 31 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,465 | −$2,465 −100% | 6 |
| 56d |  themagicofcinema | September 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | +$78 +6.4% | 4 |
| 56d | 0xba2c…bf17 | September 4 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,945 | +$788 +41% | 4 |
| 56d | aenews2 | September 15 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$152 +13% | 4 |
| 56d |  Car | August 31 | SellNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,130 | +$1,130 +100% | — |
| 56d |  LinaBell | August 31 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$3,813 +184% | 8 |
| 56d | LinaBell | August 31 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,854 | −$1,854 −100% | 6 |
| 56d | xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx | December 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 4 |
| 56d | Optimus- | August 31 | BuyYes30¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$5,550 +231% | 9 |
| 57d | PiMaak | August 31 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,319 | −$1,319 −100% | 6 |
| 57d | aff3 | December 31 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,604 | +$400 +8.7% | 4 |
| 57d |  BigMackyG | September 15 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | +$2,342 +114% | 4 |
| 57d | LulaVaiPerder | December 31 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$90 +8.1% | 4 |
| 57d | 0xba2c…bf17 | December 31 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$136 +14% | 4 |
| 57d | paddaa | December 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$304 +15% | 4 |
| 57d | Optimus- | December 31 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$1,396 +102% | 4 |
MouthBreather3,275 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Google Maps displays "Lake America," "Lake of America" or similar as the label for the body of water currently known as the "Lake Ontario" for the majority of users within the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Changes which appear only in experimental features, beta versions, or subnational regional variants, will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If both "Lake America" and "Lake Ontario" are used to label the body of water, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be Google Maps (maps.google.com) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for August 31 means the market gives it about 100%.