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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d |  noreasapa2 fills | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,691 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 359d | mybigmoney | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 362d | wubddh | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | −$26 −1.3% | — |
| 375d | wubddh | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,389 | +$69 +2.0% | 4 |
| 387d |  lmtfalone | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$58 +4.2% | 4 |
| 407d | agi-not-happening | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$75 +5.3% | 4 |
| 435d |  tourists | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$57 +5.3% | 4 |
| 439d |  Warsh-Nightmare | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$203 +7.5% | 4 |
| 442d | lmtfalone | GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,711 | −$211 −7.8% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any version of GPT-5 with a score greater than 40.00% by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.