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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw/Not Completed | 100% | +94 pts | +96 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tsarukyan | 0% | −87 pts | −86 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Magomedov | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 297d | m80mangg | Magomedov | SellNo>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 297d | domi3500 | Draw/Not Completed | SellYes>99¢ | $1,582 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 297d | TheCheatCode2 fills | Draw/Not Completed | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,441 | +$19 +0.4% | 4 |
| 297d | TheCheatCode3 fills | Magomedov | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,004 | +$28 +0.5% | 4 |
| 297d | pokgaikid | Magomedov | BuyNo100¢ | $1,053 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 297d | wokerjoesleeper | Magomedov | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,133 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d | influenz.eth | Magomedov | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  HYPERBE | Draw/Not Completed | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,220 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 297d | cocojambogugu | Draw/Not Completed | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$18 −1.7% | — |
| 297d |  Nobo | Draw/Not Completed | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,053 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 305d |  stinkray | Draw/Not Completed | SellNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,620 | +$1,620 +100% | — |
| 305d | stinkray | Draw/Not Completed | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $3,910 | −$3,910 −100% | 4 |
Arman Tsarukyan is scheduled to face Shara “Bullet” Magomedov in a Hype Fighting Championship grappling match in Armenia on December 30, 2025. This market will resolve to “Tsarukyan” if Arman Tsarukyan is officially declared the winner against Shara Magomedov in this match. This market will resolve to “Magomedov” if Shara Magomedov is officially declared the winner against Arman Tsarukyan in this match. If this match ends in a draw, is canceled, is postponed after January 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Draw/Not Completed”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the match organizers; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Draw/Not Completed means the market gives it about 100%.