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Polymarket · Tech & ScienceClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 435d |  lmtfalone | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,016 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 438d |  BeneGesseritVoice2 fills | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,802 | +$34 +0.9% | 4 |
| 465d |  NoThinkYesMoney | Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | −$91 −7.9% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any version of Grok-4 with a score greater than 40.00% by August 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.