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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umaro Sissoco Embaló | 11% | −6 pts | −5 pts | 5¢ · 16¢ (11¢) | $142 | ended |
| Fernando Dias da Costa | 7% | 0 pts | −9 pts | 4¢ · 10¢ (6¢) | — | ended |
| José Mário Vaz | 2% | — | +1 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| João Bernardo Vieira | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Mamadu Iaia Djaló | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Mário da Silva Júnior | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Siga Batista | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | $102 | ended |
| Baciro Djá | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Honório Augusto Lopes | 1% | −1 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Herculano Armando Bequinsa | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| João de Deus Mendes | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Gabriel Fernando Indi | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 330d | eazimoney | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | SellNo51¢ → 89¢ | $1,326 | −$999 −75% | — |
| 331d | eazimoney | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | BuyNo98¢ → 89¢ | $2,558 | −$233 −9.1% | 11 |
| 351d | Productive-Hop | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | SellYes71¢ → 11¢ | $4,320 | +$3,669 +85% | — |
| 351d | Thorny-Gunpowder | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | SellYes71¢ → 11¢ | $4,686 | +$3,980 +85% | — |
| 351d | Any-Farming | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | SellNo29¢ → 89¢ | $1,856 | −$3,859 −208% | — |
| 351d | Any-Farming | Umaro Sissoco Embaló | BuyNo35¢ → 89¢ | $6,820 | +$10,580 +155% | 38 |
gopfan21,016 shares
archaic657 shares
MasonsConqueredRome129 sharesPresidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 11¢ for Umaro Sissoco Embaló means the market gives it about 11%.