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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamady Doumbouya | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Makalé Camara | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ibrahima Abé Sylla | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Faya Lansana Millimono | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Kourouma | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Mohamed Nabé | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Elhadj Bouna Keita | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Mohamed Shérif Tounkara | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| Person Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,783 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | Ibrahima Abé Sylla | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,609 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | flow-trader-at-optiver2 fills | Makalé Camara | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,698 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | MistahFox | Mamady Doumbouya | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,648 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d |  0x12345 | Mamady Doumbouya | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,663 | +$6 +0.4% | 10 |
| 296d | wokerjoesleeper | Makalé Camara | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Mohamed Shérif Tounkara | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Faya Lansana Millimono | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Elhadj Bouna Keita | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | flow-trader-at-optiver | Abdoulaye Kourouma | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Mohamed Nabé | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | wokerjoesleeper | Ibrahima Abé Sylla | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | warlasfutpro | Mamady Doumbouya | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,628 | +$72 +0.7% | 10 |
| 296d | wokerjoesleeper | Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,251 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Faya Lansana Millimono | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Ibrahima Abé Sylla | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Makalé Camara | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Abdoulaye Yéro Baldé | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 296d | cigarettes | Abdoulaye Kourouma | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,417 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 298d | Jonahpeterson | Mamady Doumbouya | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | −$27 −2.2% | — |
| 299d | Jonahpeterson | Mamady Doumbouya | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$14 +1.2% | 10 |
| 302d | Mammoth-Fratricide | Mamady Doumbouya | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$31 +1.6% | 10 |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea on December 28, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Guinean government, including the Guinean Supreme Court (Cour suprême), the Guinean Constitutional Court (Cour Constitutionnelle), or the newly established Directorate General of Elections (Direction générale des élections or DGE). If these listed sources disagree, they will be prioritized in the following order: Supreme Court, Constitutional Court, Directorate General of Elections.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Mamady Doumbouya means the market gives it about 100%.