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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1087d | something612 | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1088d | 9ajsad3 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $142,000 | +$1,305 +0.9% | 4 |
| 1088d | Mara4 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,263 | +$102 +1.1% | 4 |
| 1089d |  ANudeEgg | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,031 | −$418 −3.0% | — |
| 1091d | ANudeEgg2 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,989 | +$61 +2.0% | 4 |
| 1092d |  MAGA4eva3 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,615 | +$185 +2.4% | 4 |
| 1092d |  50Whence2 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,425 | −$175 −4.0% | — |
| 1092d | 50Whence5 fills | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $12,976 | +$245 +1.9% | 4 |
| 1092d | ThatOtherGuy | Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$47 +1.6% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hamas is still recognized as the primary governing authority in the Gaza Strip by Oct 31, 2023. "Primary governing authority" is defined as Hamas having predominant political and military control in the Gaza Strip. If at any time prior to the expiry date, Hamas is no longer recognized as the primary governing authority, the market will resolve to "No". In case of shared governance or significant disruptions, the group or authority with the majority of control will be considered the primary governing authority. This market will resolve according to credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.