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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Katzberg (CAN) | 100% | +25 pts | 0 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wojciech Nowicki (POL) | 0% | −14 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Paweł Fajdek (POL) | 0% | −8 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Bence Halász (HUN) | 0% | −9 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Mykhaylo Kokhan (UKR) | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Eivind Henriksen (NOR) | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Rudy Winkler (USA) | 0% | −10 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | −43 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810d |  redbloodzcell | Other | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,084 | +$326 +16% | 9 |
| 818d | MickBob | Ethan Katzberg (CAN) | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | +$494 +33% | 4 |
Hammer Throw (M)
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Ethan Katzberg (CAN) means the market gives it about 100%.