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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d |  456ythgbvcadscvb | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,140 | +$9 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d |  Nancy.Pelosi | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,421 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d | gilbert | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,978 | +$22 +0.1% | 10 |
| 717d |  Apsalar | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 717d | 55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100 | Donald Trump | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,771 | +$17 +0.3% | 10 |
| 717d | polyproguy2 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,564 | −$164 −4.6% | — |
| 717d | DavidKimBaller | Kamala Harris | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,969 | +$30 +0.3% | 10 |
| 717d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Donald Trump | BuyNo100¢ | $3,523 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 717d | Mara4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,885 | +$209 +1.5% | 10 |
| 717d | Mara4 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $16,646 | +$159 +1.0% | 10 |
| 717d | BigFatO3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,713 | +$186 +1.4% | 10 |
| 717d | Worthwhile-Clarification | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,480 | +$193 +2.0% | 10 |
| 717d | cigarettes8 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $26,558 | +$713 +2.7% | 10 |
| 717d |  🍝👹 | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,948 | −$52 −2.7% | — |
| 717d | aadvark | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,752 | −$126 −2.7% | — |
| 717d | Champ6 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $39,327 | +$667 +1.7% | 10 |
| 717d | Champ5 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,463 | +$265 +1.4% | 10 |
| 717d | Kevindoto3 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,700 | +$129 +1.2% | 10 |
| 717d | Foobar999 | Donald Trump | BuyYes6¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 15 |
| 717d |  bosshog | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,928 | −$72 −1.8% | — |
| 717d | hci | Donald Trump | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $2,449 | −$2,449 −100% | 17 |
| 717d | elPolloLoco7 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $26,475 | −$868 −3.3% | — |
| 718d | HBCM7 fills | Donald Trump | BuyYes5¢ → 0¢ | $36,504 | −$36,504 −100% | 39 |
| 718d | wokerjoesleeper18 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $66,304 | +$2,930 +4.4% | 10 |
| 718d |  Cajetan4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,267 | +$315 +2.2% | 10 |
| 718d | gdizzle | Kamala Harris | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $30,000 | +$327 +1.1% | 10 |
| 718d | lavapecabal4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $26,942 | +$1,048 +3.9% | 10 |
| 718d | Bildungsanstalt | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,696 | +$93 +1.6% | 10 |
| 718d |  DEGENKHAN4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,451 | +$328 +2.4% | 10 |
| 718d | TheCoCoNutTree | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,811 | +$511 +2.1% | 11 |
| 718d | Mike888-2474 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $61,099 | +$1,228 +2.0% | 10 |
| 719d | elPolloLoco2 fills | Kamala Harris | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,205 | −$127 −3.0% | — |
| 719d | ExhaustedBoyBilly7 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $19,897 | −$669 −3.4% | — |
| 719d | luciousleft4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $26,741 | +$587 +2.2% | 10 |
| 720d | Apsalar2 fills | Donald Trump | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,247 | −$212 −2.9% | — |
| 720d | Mike888-2472 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $60,000 | +$937 +1.6% | 10 |
| 720d |  LBZcapital | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$24 +2.0% | 10 |
| 720d | 0x549697EE | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $36,753 | +$815 +2.2% | 10 |
| 720d | DEGENKHAN5 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,959 | +$388 +2.6% | 10 |
| 720d | TheCoCoNutTree | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $29,957 | +$873 +2.9% | 10 |
| 721d | AntiMAGA3 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,413 | +$146 +2.7% | 10 |
| 721d | AZwater | Kamala Harris | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,900 | +$100 +2.6% | 10 |
| 721d | MakeItEnd1106 | Kamala Harris | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$62 +3.1% | 10 |
| 721d | MakeItEnd1106 | Donald Trump | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $30,072 | +$940 +3.1% | 10 |
| 721d | bosshog2 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,295 | +$349 +3.8% | 10 |
| 721d |  studmuffin69692 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$160 +4.2% | 10 |
| 721d | studmuffin69692 fills | Kamala Harris | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $5,790 | +$210 +3.6% | 10 |
| 721d |  Gumiii | Donald Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,700 | +$300 +5.3% | 10 |
| 721d | oVyg7f6 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $16,084 | +$876 +5.4% | 10 |
| 721d | Gumiii | Kamala Harris | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,146 | +$111 +5.2% | 10 |
| 722d |  vocifer | Donald Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $83,748 | +$4,408 +5.3% | 10 |
| 722d | FedFan | Donald Trump | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 10 |
| 722d | bosshog | Kamala Harris | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 10 |
| 723d | Apsalar4 fills | Donald Trump | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $78,761 | +$4,755 +6.0% | 10 |
| 723d | Apsalar | Kamala Harris | BuyNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,559 | −$1,559 −100% | 15 |
| 723d | oVyg7f2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,982 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 723d | wokerjoesleeper | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,680 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 723d | Cajetan2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 725d | LBZcapital | Kamala Harris | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$40 −1.8% | — |
| 726d | diceandfight | Donald Trump | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,894 | +$42 +2.2% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the presidential election in Hawaii.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Kamala Harris means the market gives it about 100%.