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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Republican | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Republican | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,026 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,524 | +$16 +0.1% | 10 |
| 716d | Mara | Democrat | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 752d |  BigMike11 | Other | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 766d |  fhantombets | Other | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 775d | 0xfe91…70ff | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $2,192 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 785d | JadeSerpent | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,586 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 785d | JadeSerpent | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,587 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 791d |  PaeniscusKyu | Democrat | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$15 −1.5% | — |
| 806d | VoteRight | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,202 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 806d | VoteRight | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,204 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 806d | RulingRush2 fills | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $4,021 | −$16 −0.4% | — |
| 806d | RulingRush2 fills | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,026 | +$12 +0.3% | 10 |
| 807d | Snoopy-WaiterNew account | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 807d | Snoopy-WaiterNew account | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$3 +0.3% | 10 |
| 807d | ecinadin1977 | Other | SellNo>99¢ | $1,318 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 807d | ecinadin1977 | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,320 | +$3 +0.2% | 10 |
| 808d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Republican | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,159 | +$208 +5.0% | 10 |
| 808d | Kevindoto | Republican | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 10 |
| 808d | Kevindoto2 fills | Democrat | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,173 | +$571 +5.6% | 10 |
| 835d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Republican | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | −$97 −7.5% | — |
| 837d | PaeniscusKyu | Democrat | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$93 +8.7% | 10 |
This is a market on predicting the winner of the Hawaii Senate election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democrat means the market gives it about 100%.