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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥4 | 100% | +51 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ≤1 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2 | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 3 | 0% | −48 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 756d | gilbert | ≥4 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,122 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 756d | gilbert | 3 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,318 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 756d | 2 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,686 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 756d | ≥4 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$225 +18% | 4 | |
| 756d | 0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk | ≥4 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 4 |
This is a market on what what strength the storm system named Helene will make landfall at.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ≥4 means the market gives it about 100%.