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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <160 | 100% | +65 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 200 or more | 0% | −33 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 190-199 | 0% | −35 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 180-189 | 0% | −36 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 170-179 | 0% | −30 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 160-169 | 0% | −31 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 673d | longtern | <160 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,847 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 673d |  pirateshere | 160-169 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,747 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 673d |  syncope | 180-189 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 10 |
This is a negrisk market group over how many House Democrats will vote for the next government funding bill.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for <160 means the market gives it about 100%.