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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >1.31 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| <1.14 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.14-1.19 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.20-1.25 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| 1.26-1.31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 896d |  aenews22 fills | 1.20-1.25 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $18,200 | +$800 +4.4% | 4 |
| 897d | aenews23 fills | >1.31 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $7,863 | +$5,822 +74% | 4 |
| 898d |  gopfan | >1.31 | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,537 | −$1,134 −25% | — |
| 898d | aenews2 | >1.31 | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 6 |
| 898d |  mountaindewd | >1.31 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,175 | +$392 +12% | 4 |
| 899d | stockholm-7382 fills | >1.31 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $8,666 | +$3,534 +41% | 4 |
| 899d | stockholm-7382 fills | 1.20-1.25 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,409 | −$601 −11% | — |
| 899d | gopfan2 fills | >1.31 | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | +$3,910 +96% | 4 |
| 900d |  JJo | 1.26-1.31 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $3,550 | −$3,550 −100% | 4 |
| 900d | penelope-066 | >1.31 | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$2,320 +138% | 5 |
| 900d | mountaindewd | 1.26-1.31 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | 4 |
| 900d | gopfan | 1.26-1.31 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$1,250 +100% | 4 |
| 900d | gopfan | 1.26-1.31 | SellYes64¢ → 0¢ | $2,560 | +$2,560 +100% | — |
| 901d | stockholm-738 | 1.20-1.25 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 4 |
| 902d | gopfan | 1.20-1.25 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$63 +5.7% | 4 |
| 919d | aenews2 | <1.14 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
asd
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >1.31 means the market gives it about 100%.