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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80+ min | 100% | +64 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <50 min | 0% | −5 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50-60 min | 0% | −12 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-70 min | 0% | −15 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70-80 min | 0% | −34 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 598d |  NOMOREGAMBLE | 50-60 min | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
| 599d |  dududududu | 80+ min | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,179 | −$1,179 −100% | 4 |
| 599d | Isaak👴2 fills | <50 min | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,090 | +$299 +7.3% | 6 |
President Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver his first joint address to Congress of his second term on Tuesday, March 4, 2025, at 9 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the length of the speech. If Donald Trump does not give a joint address to Congress by March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his speech until the moment he finishes. The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80+ min means the market gives it about 100%.